BYD COMPANY LTD (002594.SZ) › Analysis

BYD COMPANY LTD (002594.SZ) analysis, September 23, 2025

Published September 23, 2025 · 002594.SZ chart, levels and live analysis

Key Updates

BYD faced sharp sales pressure after Berkshire Hathaway fully exited its stake, pushing the stock down 2.02% since the last report to $107.10. Despite the negative news, the company continues to expand its global footprint by adopting cryptocurrency payments in Latin America. The investment thesis remains under short-term pressure, but the fundamental outlook stays intact.

Current Trend

BYD shows mixed performance, up 13.67% year-to-date but down 13.63% over the past six months. The recent 2.02% decline reflects the market’s reaction to the exit of its biggest institutional investor. Short-term volatility has risen amid the Berkshire Hathaway sell-off news.

Investment Thesis

The thesis for BYD rests on its leading position in the electric-vehicle sector and expanding global presence. The company keeps diversifying sales geography and rolling out innovative payment solutions, including USDT acceptance in Bolivia. Long-term growth prospects are supported by the global shift to EVs and the firm’s technology advantages.

Thesis Status

The investment thesis is temporarily weakened by the departure of a key institutional investor, creating short-term liquidity and sentiment pressure. However, the fundamental growth drivers remain unchanged, and expansion into new regions and novel payment options sustain the long-term case.

Key Drivers

The main negative driver is Berkshire Hathaway’s complete exit after a 16-year investment, which has weighed on sales (Business Insider, Yahoo Finance). A positive factor is the expansion of payment options through USDT adoption by major manufacturers, including BYD, in Latin America (99bitcoins).

Technical Picture

BYD shares trade at $107.10 after a 2.02% drop, forming a medium-term consolidation pattern. The current level is under pressure after breaking the $109 support. The annual high remains well above current prices, suggesting upside potential if investor sentiment improves.

Bull Case

  • Geographic expansion via cryptocurrency payments in Latin America opens new sales channels (99bitcoins)
  • Innovative USDT payment solutions position the company as a tech leader in the auto industry (CCN)
  • Positive YTD performance of +13.67% shows resilience of the business model despite short-term swings
  • Berkshire Hathaway’s exit with a 30-times return underscores the firm’s fundamental value (Business Insider)
  • The global shift toward electric vehicles continues to support long-term growth prospects

Bear Case

  • The full exit of Berkshire Hathaway creates significant sales pressure and dampens market sentiment (Yahoo Finance)
  • Berkshire’s position fell from $415 million to $0 in Q1, signaling a loss of confidence from seasoned investors (Barrons)
  • Negative medium-term momentum of -13.63% over six months points to structural challenges
  • Short-term pressure with a -3.22% decline over the past month indicates waning buyer interest
  • Losing a key institutional anchor could lead to further volatility and reduced liquidity
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