Price: $693.54
· 1 day: +0.32% · 5 days: -1.98% · 1 month: -1.98% · YTD: +10.59%
As of 2026-11-03 21:00 UTC.
52-week range: $578.46 – $718.47 (currently at 82% of the range).
VOO is in a turning up, momentum soft. $695.45 is the level overhead; $670.76 the first support below.
4 of 6 technical checks lean bearish.
| Trend | Turning up · below 50-day & 200-day |
|---|---|
| Momentum | RSI 39.01 · neutral · MACD bearish |
| Trend strength | ADX 17.2 · weak or range |
| Location | -1.7% vs 50-day MA |
| 52-week range | -3% from high · +19% from low |
| Volatility | ATR 7.83 · ~1.1%/day |
| Level | Type | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| $695.45 (resistance) | swing zone | 0.28% |
| $700.0 (resistance) | round | 0.93% |
| $705.29 (resistance) | sma 50 | 1.69% |
| $670.76 (support) | sma 200 | -3.28% |
| $650.0 (support) | round | -6.28% |
| $638.51 (support) | swing zone | -7.93% |
| RSI (14) | 39.01 | MACD | -2.5922 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADX (14) | 17.2 | ATR (14) | 7.83 |
| 50-day average | $705.29 | 200-day average | $670.76 |
Report of 2026-10-28, updated 2026-10-31.
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) closed at $707.52, up 0.58% on the day and about 1.2% below its October 6 peak of $716.20. The fund sits above its 50-day and 200-day averages, so the weekly uptrend is intact. The balance of evidence for the next two to six weeks leans positive, but conviction is low at 1 of 4. The fund has simply moved in step with the S&P 500 and has not yet cleared the swing zone near $715.
No news items were supplied for VOO, so there is no single event to point to. The move has to be explained by the basket itself. VOO owns the S&P 500, so its path is the path of the index's largest holdings, and none of them is singled out in the data. What the numbers show is a market that rose to a peak in early October, drifted back, and is now recovering. The fund is down 0.46% over a month but up 7.61% over six months and 12.82% year to date.
On the last five days VOO gained 0.10% while SPY gained 0.08%. Over the day, VOO rose 0.58% against 0.56% for SPY. Essentially all of the move is the market. There is no sector or single-stock story to separate out, because VOO is the market. The tiny gap against SPY is tracking noise between two funds that hold the same index, not a signal. The same is true of the 50-day and 200-day comparisons against the S&P 500, which both round to zero.
The debate is also missing from the news. No articles argue a bull or bear case for VOO this week, so there are no figures or sources to weigh. The open question is the one any index holder faces: whether a market 1.2% below its high and consolidating is pausing before another leg up or rolling over. The price action leans toward a pause, but it does not settle the question. Valuation and analyst targets do not apply to a fund like this. There is no consensus price target or analyst spread, and the fund's price is whatever the index's holdings add up to.
The long-term picture is an uptrend, and the thesis is intact. The price is above its 40-week average and above the 200-day average at $669.20, which sits well below the market. The fund is 21.79% above its 52-week low of $580.93 and 1.21% below its 52-week high of $716.20. That is a late-stage advance that has stalled just under a high, not a broken trend.
For the next two to six weeks, the balance of evidence leans positive, with low conviction (1 of 4). The one point in favor is alignment: the daily trend runs with the weekly uptrend. The 14-day RSI is 43.88, which is soft rather than oversold, and volume on the latest session ran 6.6% below its 20-day average. A move that lacks volume is not convincing either way.
The strongest case against the positive reading is the one the assessment itself flags. The fund is not outrunning the S&P 500 over 50 days, with relative strength at -0.0%, and that runs against the trend. It cannot really do otherwise, since it holds the index, but it means there is no leadership edge. The one-month return is also negative at -0.46%, and the price has not made a new high since October 6. That is why conviction is low and not higher. It does not tip the balance, because the price is still above the 50-day average, and the trend structure is unbroken.
The structure holds above $705.73, the 50-day average, and the price sits just above it. A close below that level would be the first crack. Below it, $700 is a round-number support, and the trend ends below $695.45, a swing zone. A weekly close under that level would mean the pullback has become something larger. Further down are the 200-day average at $669.20 and $650.
The breakout level is a daily close above $715.20, the swing zone just under the October high, on volume above its 20-day average. From there, the first target is $750, and the second is $800. The stop is $704.06, which is the 50-day average minus a quarter of the 14-day ATR of $6.70. The math gives 3.1 to 1 to $750 and 7.6 to 1 to $800, so it meets the 3-to-1 threshold that makes a breakout worth the risk. The volume condition matters, because the last session did not provide it.
The rule is a weekly close below $695.45. That would break the swing zone that marks where the trend ends, and it would put the 200-day average at $669.20 in play. The non-price fact that could do it is a broad deterioration in earnings guidance from the index's largest holdings. A market-wide shift in the earnings outlook would hit VOO directly, because the fund has no sector or single-stock offset.
VOO tracks a broad stock index: this is news about the US stock market as a whole (S&P 500, Dow), not about the fund itself.
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