Price: $131.87
· 1 day: -6.77% · 5 days: -11.80% · 1 month: -39.50% · YTD: +59.79%
As of 2026-11-10 17:37 UTC.
52-week range: $73.52 – $299.86 (currently at 26% of the range).
NBIS is in a downtrend, momentum soft. $150 is the level overhead; $125 the first support below.
5 of 6 technical checks lean bearish.
| Trend | Downtrend · below 50-day & below 200-day |
|---|---|
| Momentum | RSI 36.8 · MACD bearish |
| Trend strength | ADX 34.1 · strong trend |
| Location | -33.7% vs 50-day MA |
| 52-week range | -54% from high · +78% from low |
| Volatility | ATR 15.73 · ~11.9%/day |
| Level | Type | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| $150.0 (resistance) | round | 13.78% |
| $175.0 (resistance) | round | 32.75% |
| $178.81 (resistance) | sma 200 | 35.64% |
| $125.0 (support) | round | -5.18% |
| $100.0 (support) | round | -24.14% |
| $73.87 (support) | 52w low | -43.97% |
| RSI (14) | 36.76 | MACD | -19.9087 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADX (14) | 34.1 | ATR (14) | 15.73 |
| 50-day average | $198.86 | 200-day average | $178.81 |
Next earnings: 2026-11-12. NBIS earnings date, time and past reactions.
Report of 2026-11-05.
NBIS has slumped to $117.3, a 31.8% drop over the past five days, after a precipitous fall from its October 6 peak of $249.9. The daily trend now mirrors a weekly downtrend, and the stock is lagging the S&P 500 by more than 40% on a 50‑day basis. The balance of evidence points to a bearish stance for the next two to six weeks, with medium conviction, because price remains below key round‑number resistance and the breakout math does not meet a 3‑to‑1 reward‑to‑risk ratio.
The most recent catalyst was a one‑day drop of more than 5% on October 27, a move that historically precedes a 70.9% chance of a higher price a month later, according to the stock’s own event history. The market’s reaction was amplified by a broader sell‑off in technology and AI‑related names, as seen in the Nasdaq futures dip on October 20 and the mixed performance of AI‑centric stocks on October 28. NBIS’s own price action was far more severe than the sector, with a 5‑day decline of –31.8% versus –3.8% for the S&P 500, underscoring a stock‑specific weakness.
Sector‑wide dynamics have not provided a clear tailwind. The Communication Services sector has been volatile, but there is no specific news that directly explains NBIS’s move. The recent guidance news for Meta and Pentair (both unrelated to NBIS) illustrates that AI spending concerns are affecting peers, yet NBIS has not released any material guidance that would account for its slide.
The debate around NBIS is split. Deutsche Bank called the recent sell‑off a “buying opportunity” in a Bloomberg piece on October 15, taking a bullish tone despite the price collapse. By contrast, Michael Burry’s broader short‑position narrative, reported by CNBC on September 23, reflects a bearish view of technology stocks, including those with AI exposure, which aligns with NBIS’s current trajectory. Both viewpoints are documented, but the bullish argument rests on a contrarian view rather than new fundamentals.
Valuation further highlights the disconnect. Analysts’ mean price target is $281, more than double the current $117 price, placing the stock 58.3% below the consensus. The low target of $84 suggests some analysts see even deeper downside, while the high of $410 reflects a wide spread of expectations. The current price therefore sits at a substantial discount to the mean target, but the spread also signals uncertainty about the stock’s recovery path.
Long‑term, NBIS remains in a downtrend. The price is below both its 40‑week average and the 50‑day simple moving average of $203.4, confirming that the weekly trend is down. The 52‑week range shows the stock is 58.8% above its low of $73.9, yet still 59.1% below its high of $286.7, indicating ample room for further decline before testing the low.
For the next two to six weeks, the balance of evidence leans negative. The assessment cites two of four conviction points: the daily trend follows the weekly downtrend, and NBIS is lagging the S&P 500 by –40.3% over 50 days. Conviction is medium because the breakout math does not satisfy a 3‑to‑1 reward‑to‑risk profile, and the stop at $128.8 is only modestly above the current price. The strongest case against this bearish reading would be a rapid rally above the $125 round‑number resistance, which could signal a shift in momentum, but such a move would need to be sustained above the 50‑day SMA at $203.4 to overturn the weekly downtrend—a scenario not supported by current price action.
The structure holds below $125, a round‑number level where sellers have historically stepped in during rallies. The weekly trend would only end if price closes above the 50‑day SMA at $203.4, a level that also serves as a key resistance. Below that, the next support is the $100 round‑number, followed by $75 and the 52‑week low of $73.9.
The breakout math calls for a daily close below $100 as the downside trigger. The stop is set at $128.8, derived from $125 plus a quarter of the 14‑day ATR ($15.34). The target is the 52‑week low of $73.9, yielding a reward‑to‑risk of 0.9. Because the math does not achieve a 3‑to‑1 ratio, a price move to $73.9 would need to be accompanied by a larger upside potential—approximately $150—to meet that threshold.
A weekly close above the 50‑day SMA at $203.4 would invalidate the current downtrend and reset the structural map. The non‑price event that could trigger such a shift is a materially better‑than‑expected earnings report on November 12, especially if revenue guidance shows a clear turnaround in AI‑related services.
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