Price: $30.8
· 1 day: +4.16% · 5 days: +13.03% · 1 month: +19.75% · YTD: +54.00%
As of 2026-11-03 21:00 UTC.
52-week range: $19.77 – $32.66 (currently at 86% of the range).
SIRI is in an uptrend, momentum firm. $31.4 is the level overhead; $30.13 the first support below.
6 of 6 technical checks lean bullish.
| Trend | Uptrend · above 50-day & 200-day |
|---|---|
| Momentum | RSI 85.34 · neutral · MACD bullish |
| Trend strength | ADX 28.7 · strong trend |
| Location | +11.6% vs 50-day MA |
| 52-week range | -5% from high · +55% from low |
| Volatility | ATR 0.75 · ~2.4%/day |
| Level | Type | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| $31.4 (resistance) | swing zone | 1.95% |
| $32.59 (resistance) | 52w high | 5.81% |
| $35.0 (resistance) | round | 13.64% |
| $30.13 (support) | swing zone | -2.18% |
| $30.0 (support) | round | -2.6% |
| $27.74 (support) | swing zone | -9.94% |
| RSI (14) | 85.34 | MACD | 0.6073 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADX (14) | 28.7 | ATR (14) | 0.75 |
| 50-day average | $27.59 | 200-day average | $26.32 |
Next earnings: 2026-10-29. SIRI earnings date, time and past reactions.
Report of 2026-10-31, updated 2026-11-03.
SiriusXM (SIRI) closed at $30.06 on November 3, up 1.66% on the day and 10.31% over the past five sessions, outpacing the S&P 500’s 0.26% gain in one day but still lagging its –2.09% five‑day decline, reflecting a strong relative rally despite a broader market pullback. The move follows the Q3 earnings beat and an upward revision to full‑year guidance, plus a bullish analyst upgrade from Rosenblatt to a $47 target.
The picture holds: the stock remains above the $30.0 round support and the 50‑day SMA at $27.58, while the daily close is still shy of the breakout level of $30.13. The upside targets of $31.4 and $32.59 stay intact, and the stop at $29.83 remains valid. Volume is still well below its 20‑day average, but the price action continues to run with the weekly uptrend.
What would change the picture? A weekly close below the $27.58 SMA would prompt a reassessment, as would a sustained breach of the $30.13 swing‑zone resistance on higher‑than‑average volume, which could trigger the next breakout scenario.
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) raised full-year guidance on October 29, 2026, and the shares closed at $29.01 on October 30, up 5.0% in five days while the S&P 500 slipped. The balance of evidence now leans positive for the next two to six weeks, a change from the neutral reading of October 28, 2026. Conviction is medium: the trend and relative strength agree, but the math from a breakout does not yet pay enough for the risk.
The third-quarter numbers were not the story. Revenue was $2.15 billion, flat year over year, and diluted EPS fell 7% to $0.78 because of convertible note accounting, even as net income rose 7% to $317 million, per the 10-Q. The company said the small revenue dip came mainly from lower equipment revenue on higher memory costs, according to its 8-K. The story was the outlook. Management lifted full-year guidance for revenue, free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA by $25 million each and credited subscriber stability to retention programs such as Companion plans, multiyear dealer packages and Continuous Service, as The Motley Fool summarized.
The market took that as proof the subscriber base is holding. Shares rose 1.2% on October 30 on volume 63.2% above the 20-day average, a sign of real participation rather than a thin drift. That day the S&P 500 fell 1.8%. Over five days SIRI gained 5.0% against a 0.6% decline for the index, so the market was a small headwind and almost all of the move belongs to the stock itself. No sector fund comparison is available, and the earnings release is the obvious explanation. The one-month gain is 12.1% and the year-to-date gain is 45.1%, so a good deal of repair is already in the price. The stock is still 11.0% below its 52-week high of $32.59.
The real argument is whether subscription media is being disrupted. The bearish case is the one that hit the shares in September: fears that Meta's Muse AI agent could undercut subscription businesses, which left SiriusXM down 11% between its September 8 launch and late September, according to CNBC. Flat revenue and lower EPS give that worry something to point at. The constructive case, which CNBC's Jim Cramer made in the same piece, is that the sell-off was overdone. The guidance raise and the retention programs are the first hard evidence for it. Neither side has settled the question, but the latest company data favors the second.
Valuation shows how divided the Street is. Thirteen analysts have a consensus rating of hold, with a mean price target of $34.08, which is 14.9% above the current price. Targets run from $24 at the low end to $46 at the high end. A spread that wide says the debate over the business is unresolved.
On the long term, the thesis is intact and has moved from repair toward recovery. The price is above both its 40-week average and its 200-day average of $26.22, and it is back above the 50-day average of $27.53. Over the past year the stock rose from a low of $19.92 and is now 45.6% above it, though it has not reclaimed the $32.59 high. This is a recovering uptrend, not a new breakout to highs.
On the next two to six weeks, the balance of evidence leans positive, with medium conviction (2 of 4 points). The earlier report, dated October 28, 2026, was neutral with low conviction because the daily and weekly trends were not aligned. They now are: the daily trend runs with the weekly uptrend. SIRI is also leading the S&P 500 by 7.0% over 50 days. Those two points support the reading. The other two are missing, and that is why conviction stops at medium.
The strongest case against is that the stock is stretched. RSI is 77.4, the stock is up 12.1% in a month, and a post-earnings volume surge often marks the energetic part of a move rather than the start of a new one. Analysts are at hold. The first two targets also sit so close to the price that the reward-to-risk is poor. This does not tip the balance, because the trend, the relative strength and the guidance raise all point the same way. It does explain why conviction is not higher.
The structure rests on $27.74, a swing zone that is the first place a pullback would show damage if it broke. Just below it sits the 50-day average at $27.53, where the trend would end. Those two levels are close together, so a decline through the cluster would undo the rebound. The 200-day average at $26.22 and the swing zone at $25.30 are the next supports, with $25.00 as the round-number backstop.
The breakout level is a daily close above $30.00, a round number, on volume above its 20-day average. From there the first target is $30.13 and the second is $31.40, with the 52-week high of $32.59 beyond them. A breakout would be wrong below $27.57, which is the $27.74 zone less a quarter of the 14-day ATR of $0.66. Against that stop, the reward-to-risk is 0.1 to 1 at the first target and 0.6 to 1 at the second. The math does not reach the 3 to 1 that makes a breakout worth the risk. It would take a target well beyond $31.40, such as the 52-week high, or a starting price much nearer the stop, to change that.
A weekly close below $27.53, the 50-day average, would end the current reading, because it would break the daily trend that has just aligned with the weekly one. The non-price fact that would do the same is evidence that the retention programs are not working, either a cut to the guidance just raised or subscriber losses large enough to suggest that AI-driven disruption of subscriptions is reaching SiriusXM.
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