Price: $59.68
· 1 day: -0.72% · 5 days: +4.63% · 1 month: +15.44% · YTD: +1.81%
As of 2026-11-06 21:00 UTC.
52-week range: $49.96 – $69.48 (currently at 50% of the range).
TSN is in an uptrend, momentum firm. $59.72 is the level overhead; $59.59 the first support below.
5 of 6 technical checks lean bullish.
| Trend | Uptrend · above 50-day & 200-day |
|---|---|
| Momentum | RSI 77.84 · neutral · MACD bullish |
| Trend strength | ADX 33.7 · strong trend |
| Location | +10.8% vs 50-day MA |
| 52-week range | -13% from high · +18% from low |
| Volatility | ATR 1.34 · ~2.2%/day |
| Level | Type | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| $59.72 (resistance) | swing zone | 0.07% |
| $60.0 (resistance) | round | 0.54% |
| $63.0 (resistance) | swing zone | 5.56% |
| $59.59 (support) | sma 200 | -0.15% |
| $57.2 (support) | swing zone | -4.16% |
| $55.92 (support) | swing zone | -6.3% |
| RSI (14) | 77.84 | MACD | 1.527 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADX (14) | 33.7 | ATR (14) | 1.34 |
| 50-day average | $53.89 | 200-day average | $59.59 |
Next earnings: 2026-11-16. TSN earnings date, time and past reactions.
Report of 2026-11-04.
Tyson Foods (TSN) closed at $59.53 on November 4, 2026, up 4.5% on the day and 7.5% over five sessions, as a USDA-confirmed screwworm outbreak tightened cattle supplies and investors rotated into defensive staples. The stock has flipped from a bearish to a bullish stance for the next 2–6 weeks, with high conviction, though the breakout math does not yet offer the 3-to-1 reward-to-risk that would make a fresh entry compelling. The daily trend now aligns with the weekly uptrend, and TSN is leading both the S&P 500 and its sector over the past 50 days.
The immediate catalyst is the Reuters report on October 28 that the USDA confirmed a New World screwworm infestation in a dog in Arizona, the third US state affected after Texas and New Mexico. The outbreak has halted livestock imports from Mexico, tightening US cattle supplies and pushing beef prices to record highs. For a meat processor like TSN, higher input costs are usually a margin squeeze, but the market is reading this as a supply shock that lifts the whole protein complex, and TSN has the scale to pass through costs.
The stock's reaction has been strong: up 7.5% in five days, while the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Consumer Staples ETF (XLP) rose 6.2%. That means TSN outperformed its sector by 1.4 percentage points over the week, a sign that the move is not just a defensive bid but stock-specific. Over the past month, TSN is up 15.1% versus a 0.9% decline in SPY and a 13.8% gain in XLP, so the stock is leading even within a sector that is itself in favor.
The debate on TSN is split. On one side, CNBC reports Goldman Sachs recommending consumer staples as defensive plays if the AI trade fails, and Business Insider notes Wall Street's broader shift toward quality stocks with low debt and durable earnings. On the other, CNBC and Morningstar both report that Goldman removed TSN from its US Conviction List on October 2, replacing it with Amazon. That removal is a caution flag, but the stock has risen 15% since then, suggesting the market is pricing in the supply shock and defensive rotation more than the analyst list change.
Valuation is not stretched: the consensus target among 12 analysts is $63.00, about 5.5% above the current price, with a low of $56 and a high of $75. The stock trades below its 52-week high of $68.75 by 13.4%, and the mean target implies the market sees further upside even after this run. The screwworm news is a real supply shock, and the defensive rotation is a real tailwind, but the stock is now overbought on RSI at 75, which argues for caution on chasing.
The long-term thesis has turned. As of October 16, 2026, the prior assessment was bearish for the next 2–6 weeks, with medium conviction, based on price below its 40-week average and a pullback in trend alignment. That reading has changed: TSN is now above both its 10-week and 40-week averages, and the daily trend runs with the weekly uptrend. The stock is up 10.7% relative to the S&P 500 over 50 days and 2.0% relative to XLP, so the relative strength is not a one-week fluke. The long-term trend is now up, and the structure is aligned.
For the next 2–6 weeks, the balance of evidence leans positive, with high conviction (3 of 4 points). The daily trend is with the weekly uptrend, the stock is leading the market and its sector, and the breakout math points to upside. The strongest case against this reading is the overbought condition: RSI at 75.07, and volume on the breakout day was 43% below the 20-day average, which suggests the move is not being confirmed by heavy participation. Historically, when RSI rises above 70, the stock is higher a month later 58.7% of the time, with a median gain of 0.9%, so the overbought signal is not a reliable sell. The low volume is a concern, but it has not stopped the trend, and the supply shock is a fundamental driver that volume alone does not capture.
The structure holds above $57.20, a swing zone that has been support. A daily close below that level would be the first crack, and a weekly close below $55.92 would end the uptrend. The 50-day average sits at $53.72, well below, so the stock has room to fall before the trend is truly broken. The 52-week low is $50.47, which is the ultimate floor if the thesis fails.
On the upside, the first resistance is the 200-day average at $59.60, which the stock closed just below on November 4. A daily close above $59.60 on volume above its 20-day average would confirm a breakout. From there, the targets are $63.00 and $65.60, both swing zones. Using a stop at $56.92 (the swing zone minus a quarter of the ATR), the reward-to-risk is 1.3 to 1 for the first target and 2.2 to 1 for the second. That does not reach the 3-to-1 threshold that makes a breakout worth the risk; to get there, the stock would need to clear $59.60 and offer a target near $67 or higher, or the stop would need to be tighter. The map is clear, but the math is not yet compelling for a fresh entry.
The picture would change on a weekly close below $55.92, which would flip the long-term trend back to down and invalidate the bullish stance. The non-price fact to watch is the next earnings report on November 16, 2026: if management guides to margin pressure from higher cattle costs or labor disruptions, the stock could reverse even without breaking a level. The ICE arrests at a Tyson poultry plant in Virginia, reported by The New York Times, are a reminder that labor availability is a real risk to operations.
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